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The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, its first increase since 2023, and signalled that persistent inflation could require further tightening. The decision resets the liquidity backdrop for stocks, bonds, gold, the dollar and crypto.
U.S. Treasury yields surged to levels not seen since 2007 as oil stayed above $105 and markets moved toward near-certainty of a Federal Reserve rate hike, tightening conditions across stocks, crypto, gold and the dollar.
MACRO · CENTRAL BANKS — Updated 15 September 2026. Markets now price a Federal Reserve hike as the overwhelming base case after the U.S. 10-year yield briefly reached about 5.04% and oil stayed above $105, tightening conditions across stocks, gold and crypto.
ENERGY · GLOBAL MARKETS — Updated 15 September 2026. Brent pushed toward the high-$100s as Middle East supply risk persisted, helping drive the U.S. 10-year yield above 5% and reinforcing Fed hike expectations across global markets.
India is pushing BRICS members to link central-bank digital currencies for cross-border trade, but interoperability, currency swaps and geopolitical tensions remain major obstacles.
Trump rejected calls to slow frontier AI development as exaggerated, while Anthropic reportedly selected Nasdaq for a potential IPO and AI safety concerns moved closer to capital-market decisions.
The dollar, yen, euro and pound head into Fed week with oil above $100, shifting rate expectations and divergent central-bank signals driving the major FX pairs.
Iran is leaning harder on Tether and Bitcoin as sanctions and war constrain conventional trade channels, raising stablecoin-flow and enforcement risks for crypto markets.
Houthi missile and drone attacks hit energy facilities across southern Saudi Arabia on September 8, sparking fires, temporarily halting some operations and injuring 73 people as Brent crude pushed toward $100.
China’s exports rose 25% year over year in August and imports climbed 28.2%, producing a $119.09B trade surplus as AI, autos and high-tech demand strengthened the external-growth story while trade-policy risks increased.
